Ketvirtadienis, 28 rugsėjo, 2023

Mixed Messages from FOMC on Interest Rates and Inflation Keep Investors on Edge

The financial world witnessed a day of turbulence as major US stock indices reacted to the minutes released from the latest Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. On Wednesday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed 180 points lower, the S&P 500 fell by 0.7%, and the Nasdaq suffered a sharper decline of 1.1%. Investors grappled with the implications of the FOMC’s discussions on interest rates and inflation, causing shifts across various sectors of the market.

FOMC Meeting Insights

The minutes from the FOMC meeting revealed a notable consensus among members regarding the 25 basis points (bps) interest rate hike that had been implemented. However, these insights also unveiled a divergence of opinions within the committee. Some members expressed a preference for a more prolonged pause to the tightening of monetary policy. This divergence stemmed from concerns over the uncertainty surrounding the extent of policy transmission lags.

The delicate balance between promoting economic growth and controlling inflation was clearly at the center of the debate. Policymakers highlighted the potential for upside risks to inflation, which could warrant a prolonged period of restrictive monetary policy. Some members even hinted at the possibility of another rate hike in the future. This stance, while aiming to maintain price stability, placed pressure on the US equity markets.

US Inflation
US Inflation

Impact on Equities

As the minutes were digested, US equities faced downward pressure. The Dow Jones experienced a decline of 180 points, driven by uncertainty surrounding the path of interest rates and its implications for economic growth. The broader market sentiment reflected in the S&P 500, which registered a 0.7% drop. The tech-heavy Nasdaq, home to many high-growth companies, suffered the sharpest decline of 1.1%, showcasing the sensitivity of the technology sector to fluctuations in monetary policy.

Several tech giants bore the brunt of the market’s reaction. Meta, formerly known as Facebook, witnessed a decrease of 2.5%, while electric vehicle pioneer Tesla saw a dip of 3.1%. Key semiconductor players such as AMD (-3.7%) and Intel (-3.6%) also experienced declines, indicating concerns about the tech sector’s vulnerability to rising interest rates.

Treasury Yields and Economic Data

Adding to the market’s unease, treasury yields surged toward 15-year highs. The mixed messages within the FOMC minutes, coupled with robust industrial production data, contributed to the upward trajectory of yields. Rising yields have a cascading effect on the market, particularly impacting sectors that are more interest-rate-sensitive, like technology.

Contrasting Gains: Target’s Resilience

In the midst of the market volatility, there were exceptions. Retail giant Target managed to defy the downward trend, with its shares rising by 3%. This surprising performance came despite the company’s decision to cut its full-year outlook. Target’s ability to weather the storm showcased the diversified nature of the market and how different sectors can respond to economic variables in unique ways.


TSLA Take Profit signal is lowered to 233.98:


DIS position closed with a 3.16% loss:


In the USDCAD position place stop loss order @1.3441:


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